An Alternative Mathematical Modeling Approach to Estimating a Reference Life Expectancy.

ABSTRACT: Background. Reference life expectancies inform frequently used health metrics, which play an integral role in determining resource allocation and health policy decision making. Existing reference life expectancies are not able to account for variation in geographies, populations, and disease states. Using a computer simulation, we developed a reference life expectancy estimation that considers competing causes of mortality, and is tailored to population characteristics. Methods. We developed a Monte Carlo microsimulation model that explicitly represented the top causes of US mortality in 2014 and the risk factors associated with their onset. The microsimulation follows a birth cohort of hypothetical individuals resembling the population of the United States. To estimate a ref

SUBMITTER: Stevens ER 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6360479 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jan-Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature