Development of a risk prediction model (Hangang) and comparison with clinical severity scores in burn patients.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to develop a new prediction model to reflect the risk of mortality and severity of disease and to evaluate the ability of the developed model to predict mortality among adult burn patients.

Methods

This study included 2009 patients aged more than 18 years who were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) within 24 hours after a burn. We divided the patients into two groups; those admitted from January 2007 to December 2013 were included in the derivation group and those admitted from January 2014 to September 2017 were included in the validation group. Shrinkage methods with 10-folds cross-validation were performed to identify variables and limit overfitting of the model. The discrimination was analyzed using the area under the curve (A

SUBMITTER: Kim Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6364897 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature