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Mortality risk in the population of HIV-positive individuals in Southern China: A cohort study.

ABSTRACT: To evaluate the mortality risk in the HIV-positive population, we conducted an observational cohort study involving routine data collection of HIV-positive patients who presented at HIV clinics and multiple treatment centers throughout Guangxi province, Southern China in 2011. The patients were screened for tuberculosis (TB) and tested for hepatitis B (HBV) and C (HCV) virus infections yearly. Following the registration, the cohort was followed up for a 60-month period till the end-point (December 31, 2015). Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to analyze the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for mortality after adjusting for confounding factors stratified by patients' sociodemographic and behavioral characteristics. HRs were compared within risk-factor levels. With the median follow-up of 3.7-person years for each individual, 5,398 (37.8%) (of 14,293 patients with HIV/AIDS) died; among whom, 78.4% were antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naïve; 43.6% presented late; and 12.2% and 3.3% of patients had Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) and HBV and HCV co-infection, respectively. Of individuals with CD4 counts, those with CD4 count >350 cells/μL formed 14.0% of those who died. Furthermore, gender [multivariable HR (95% CI):1.94 (1.68-2.25)], Han ethnicity [2.15 (1.07-4.32)], illiteracy [3.28 (1.96-5.5)], elementary education [2.91 (1.8-4.72)], late presentation [2.89 (2.46-3.39)], and MTB co-infection [1.28 (1.10-1.49)] strongly increased the all-cause mortality risk of HIV-positive individuals. The HR for ART-based stratification was 0.08 (0.07-0.09); and for HBV and HCV co-infection, HR was 1.02 (0.86-1.21). The findings emphasized that accessibility to HIV testing among high-risk populations and screening for viral hepatitis and TB co-infection are important for the survival of HIV-positive individuals. Initiating early ART, even for individuals with higher CD4 counts, is advisable to help increase the prolongation of lives within the community.

SUBMITTER: Zheng Z

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6370196 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Mortality risk in the population of HIV-positive individuals in Southern China: A cohort study.

Zheng Zhigang Z Lin Jinying J Lu ZhenZhen Z Su Jinming J Li Jianjun J Tan Guangjie G Zhou Chongxing C Geng Wenkui W

PloS one 20190211 2

To evaluate the mortality risk in the HIV-positive population, we conducted an observational cohort study involving routine data collection of HIV-positive patients who presented at HIV clinics and multiple treatment centers throughout Guangxi province, Southern China in 2011. The patients were screened for tuberculosis (TB) and tested for hepatitis B (HBV) and C (HCV) virus infections yearly. Following the registration, the cohort was followed up for a 60-month period till the end-point (Decemb ...[more]

PMID: 30742626

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Project description:BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) and Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS) are leading causes of death globally. However, little is known about the long-term mortality risk and the timeline of death in those co-infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB). This study sought to understand the long-term mortality risk, factors, and the timeline of death in those with HIV-Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) coinfection, particularly in those with insufficient TB treatment.MethodsTB-cause specific deaths were classified using a modified 'Coding of Cause of Death in HIV' protocol. A longitudinal cross-registration-system checking approach was used to confirm HIV/MTB co-infection between two observational cohorts. Mortality from the end of TB treatment (6 months) to post-treatment year (PTY) 5 (60 months) was investigated by different TB treatment outcomes. General linear models were used to estimate the mean mortality at each time-point and change between time-points. Cox's proportional hazard regressions measured the mortality hazard risk (HR) at each time-point. The Mantel-Haenszel stratification was used to identify mortality risk factors. Mortality density was calculated by person year of follow-up.ResultsAt the end point, mortality among patients with HIV/MTB coinfection was 34.7%. From the end of TB treatment to PTY5, mortality and loss of person years among individuals with TB treatment failure, missing, and adverse events (TBFMA) were significantly higher than those who had TB cure (TBC) and TB complete regimen (TBCR). Compared to individuals with TBC and with TBCR, individuals with TBFMA tended to die earlier and their mortality was significantly higher (HRTBFMA-TBC = 3.0, 95% confidence interval: 2.5-3.6, HRTBFMA-TBCR = 2.9, 95% CI: 2.5-3.4, P < 0.0001). Those who were naïve to antiretroviral therapy, were farmers, had lower CD4 counts (≤200 cells/μL) and were ≥ 50 years of age were at the highest risk of mortality. Mortality risk for participants with TBFMA was significantly higher across all stratifications except those with a CD4 count of ≤200 cells/μL.ConclusionsEarlier and long-term mortality among those with HIV/MTB co-infection is a significant problem when TB treatment fails or is inadequate.

Project description:BackgroundRecent studies have suggested that statins possess diverse immune modulatory and anti-inflammatory properties. As statins might attenuate inflammation, statin therapy has been hypothesized to reduce mortality in HIV-infected individuals. We therefore used a Danish nationwide cohort of HIV-infected individuals to estimate the impact of statin use on mortality before and after a diagnosis of cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease or diabetes.MethodsWe identified all Danish HIV-infected individuals (1,738) who initiated HAART after 1 January 1998, and achieved virological suppression within 180 days. Date of first redemption of a prescription of statin was obtained from the Danish National Prescription Registry. We used Poisson regression analysis to assess adjusted mortality rate ratios (aMRR). First, time was censored at date of virological failure (VL >500 copies/ml). Second, time was not censored at virological failure. All analyses were adjusted for potential confounders.ResultsIn the analyses confined to observation time without virological failure (+ censoring) statin therapy was associated with a non-statistically significant reduced rate of death (aMRR 0.75; 95% CI: 0.33-1.68). No difference was observed in the analysis with no censoring (aMRR 1.17; 95% CI: 0.66-2.07). Use of statin seemed to reduce mortality in individuals after a diagnosis of comorbidity {(+ censoring: aMRR: 0.34; 95% CI: 0.11-1.04), (-censoring: aMRR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.32-1.29)}. No difference in rate of death could be detected before first date of diagnosis of comorbidity {(+ censoring: aMRR: 1.12; 95% CI: 0.34-3.62), (-censoring: aMRR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.28-2.88)}.ConclusionStatin therapy might reduce all-cause mortality in HIV-infected individuals, but the impact on individuals with no comorbidity seems small or absent. An unambiguous proof of a causal relation can only be obtained in a randomized controlled trial, but the sample size predicted may be prohibitive for its conduct.

Project description:BackgroundHigh cardiovascular comorbidity contributes to excess mortality in patients with myeloproliferative neoplasm, while less is known about respiratory comorbidity and mortality. We tested the hypothesis that individuals with myeloproliferative neoplasm have increased risk of pneumonia and respiratory mortality.MethodsOf 249 294 invited individuals aged ≥20 from the Danish general population from 2003-2015, 107 900 participated and were included in the Copenhagen General Population Study (response-rate: 43%). We examined lung function and respiratory symptoms at baseline examination and followed individuals prospectively from baseline examination through 2018 to determine risk of pneumonia and respiratory mortality using Cox proportional hazard regression. Among 351 individuals with myeloproliferative neoplasm, 131 (37%) were diagnosed at baseline examination and 220 (63%) were diagnosed during follow-up. The follow-up cases were entered in the regression analysis by using a time-varying variable.FindingsIn total, 125 (36%) individuals had essential thrombocythaemia, 124 (35%) had polycythaemia vera, and 102 (29%) had myelofibrosis/unclassifiable myeloproliferative neoplasm. During follow-up we observed 5979 pneumonias and 2278 respiratory deaths. Compared to individuals without myeloproliferative neoplasm, multivariable adjusted hazard ratios in individuals with myeloproliferative neoplasm were 2·18 (95% CI: 1·60-2·96) for pneumonia and 2·27 (1·46-3·53) for respiratory mortality. Corresponding hazard ratios were 1·26 (0·71-2·30) and 0·96 (0·31-2·94) for essential thrombocythaemia, 2·50 (1·57-3·98) and 3·58 (1·94-6·59) for polycythaemia vera, and 3·03 (1·86-4·93) and 2·40 (1·11-5·19) for myelofibrosis/unclassifiable myeloproliferative neoplasm, respectively. Results were similar in those with and without airflow limitation, and in never-smokers and ever-smokers separately.InterpretationIndividuals with myeloproliferative neoplasm had two-fold increased risk of pneumonia and respiratory mortality, mainly due to polycythaemia vera and myelofibrosis/unclassifiable myeloproliferative neoplasm. These are novel findings.

Project description:ObjectivesSeasonal variations in tuberculosis diagnoses have been attributed to seasonal climatic changes and indoor crowding during colder winter months. We investigated trends in pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) diagnosis at antiretroviral therapy (ART) programmes in Southern Africa.SettingFive ART programmes participating in the International Epidemiology Database to Evaluate AIDS in South Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe.ParticipantsWe analysed data of 331 634 HIV-positive adults (>15 years), who initiated ART between January 2004 and December 2014.Primary outcome measureWe calculated aggregated averages in monthly counts of PTB diagnoses and ART initiations. To account for time trends, we compared deviations of monthly event counts to yearly averages, and calculated correlation coefficients. We used multivariable regressions to assess associations between deviations of monthly ART initiation and PTB diagnosis counts from yearly averages, adjusted for monthly air temperatures and geographical latitude. As controls, we used Kaposi sarcoma and extrapulmonary tuberculosis (EPTB) diagnoses.ResultsAll programmes showed monthly variations in PTB diagnoses that paralleled fluctuations in ART initiations, with recurrent patterns across 2004-2014. The strongest drops in PTB diagnoses occurred in December, followed by April-May in Zimbabwe and South Africa. This corresponded to holiday seasons, when clinical activities are reduced. We observed little monthly variation in ART initiations and PTB diagnoses in Zambia. Correlation coefficients supported parallel trends in ART initiations and PTB diagnoses (correlation coefficient: 0.28, 95% CI 0.21 to 0.35, P<0.001). Monthly temperatures and latitude did not substantially change regression coefficients between ART initiations and PTB diagnoses. Trends in Kaposi sarcoma and EPTB diagnoses similarly followed changes in ART initiations throughout the year.ConclusionsMonthly variations in PTB diagnosis at ART programmes in Southern Africa likely occurred regardless of seasonal variations in temperatures or latitude and reflected fluctuations in clinical activities and changes in health-seeking behaviour throughout the year, rather than climatic factors.

Project description:The efficacy of antiretroviral drugs is limited by the development of drug resistance. Therefore, it is important to examine HIV drug resistance following the nationwide implementation of drug resistance testing in China since 2009. We conducted drug resistance testing in patients who were already on or new to HIV antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Shandong Province, China, from 2011 to 2013, and grouped them based on the presence or absence of drug resistance to determine the effects of age, gender, ethnicity, marital status, educational level, route of transmission and treatment status on drug resistance. We then examined levels of drug resistance the following year. The drug resistance rates of HIV patients on ART in Shandong from 2011 to 2013 were 3.45% (21/608), 3.38% (31/916), and 4.29% (54/1259), per year, respectively. M184V was the most frequently found point mutation, conferring resistance to the nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor, while Y181C, G190A, K103N and V179D/E/F were the most frequent point mutations conferring resistance to the non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor. In addition, the protease inhibitor drug resistance mutations I54V and V82A were identified for the first time in Shandong Province. Primary resistance accounts for 20% of the impact factors for drug resistance. Furthermore, it was found that educational level and treatment regimen were high-risk factors for drug resistance in 2011 (P<0.05), while treatment regimen was a high risk factor for drug resistance in 2012 and 2013 (P<0.05). Among the 106 drug-resistant patients, 77 received immediate adjustment of treatment regimen following testing, and 69 (89.6%) showed a reduction in drug resistance the following year. HIV drug resistance has a low prevalence in Shandong Province. However, patients on second line ART regimens and those with low educational level need continuous monitoring. Active drug resistance testing can effectively prevent the development of drug resistance.

Dataset Information

Mortality risk in the population of HIV-positive individuals in Southern China: A cohort study.

Publications

Mortality risk in the population of HIV-positive individuals in Southern China: A cohort study.

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