Epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in mainland China from 2004 to 2015: a model-based analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

We used data released by the government to analyze the epidemiological distribution of pulmonary tuberculosis in mainland China from 2004 to 2015, in order to provide a deeper understanding of trends in the epidemiology of pulmonary tuberculosis in China and a theoretical basis to assess the effectiveness of government interventions and develop more targeted prevention and control strategies.

Methods

A discrete dynamic model was designed based on the epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis and fitted to data published by the government to estimate changes in indicators such as adequate contact rate, prevalence of non-treated pulmonary tuberculosis (abbreviated as prevalence), and infection rate. Finally, we performed sensitivity analyses of the e

SUBMITTER: Guo Z 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6383277 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature