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ABSTRACT: Background
The study objectives were to identify the main predictive factors for long hospital stays and to propose new and improved methods of risk assessment.Methods
This prospective cohort study was conducted in the clinics and surgical wards of a tertiary hospital and involved 523 elderly patients over 60 years of age. Demographic, clinical, functional, and cognitive characteristics assessed between 48 and 72 h after admission were analyzed to investigate correlations with lengths of stay greater than 10 days. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed, and in the final model, long-term probability scores were estimated for each variable.Results
Of the 523 patients studied, 33 (6.3%) remained hospitalized for more than 10 days. Multiple regression analysis revealed that both the presence of diabetes and the inability to perform chair-to-bed transfers (Barthel Index) remained significant risk predictors. Diabetes doubled the risk of prolonged hospital stays, while a chair-to-bed transfer score of 0 or 5 led to an eight-fold increase in risk.Conclusions
In this study, we propose an easy method that can be used, after external validation, to screen for long-term risk (using diabetes and bed/chair transfer) as a first step in identifying hospitalized elderly patients who will require comprehensive assessment to guide prevention plans and rehabilitation programs.
SUBMITTER: Ferreira MS
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6427871 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Mar
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Ferreira Milene Silva MS de Melo Franco Fabio Gazelato FG Rodrigues Patrícia Silveira PS da Silva de Poli Correa Vanessa Maria VM Akopian Sonia Teresa Gaidzakian STG Cucato Gabriel Grizzo GG Dias Raphael Mendes Ritti RMR Cendoroglo Maysa Seabra MS França Carolina Nunes CN de Carvalho José Antonio Maluf JAM
BMC geriatrics 20190321 1
<h4>Background</h4>The study objectives were to identify the main predictive factors for long hospital stays and to propose new and improved methods of risk assessment.<h4>Methods</h4>This prospective cohort study was conducted in the clinics and surgical wards of a tertiary hospital and involved 523 elderly patients over 60 years of age. Demographic, clinical, functional, and cognitive characteristics assessed between 48 and 72 h after admission were analyzed to investigate correlations with le ...[more]