Temperature-Related Summer Mortality Under Multiple Climate, Population, and Adaptation Scenarios.

ABSTRACT: Projections of the magnitude and pattern of possible health risks from climate change should be based on multiple climate and development scenarios to describe the range of uncertainties, to inform effective and efficient policies. For a better understanding of climate change-related risks in seven metropolitan cities of South Korea, we estimated temperature-related summer (June to August) mortality until 2100 using projected changes in climate, population, and adaptation. In addition, we extracted the variations in the mortality estimates associated with uncertainties in climate, population, and adaptation scenarios using 25 climate models, two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5), three population scenarios (high, medium and low variants), and four adaptation scenarios

SUBMITTER: Lee JY 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6466250 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature