Modeling and Surveillance of Reporting Delays of Mosquitoes and Humans Infected With West Nile Virus and Associations With Accuracy of West Nile Virus Forecasts.

ABSTRACT:

Importance

West Nile virus (WNV) is the leading cause of domestically acquired arboviral disease.

Objective

To develop real-time WNV forecasts of infected mosquitoes and human cases.

Design, setting, and participants

Real-time forecasts of WNV in 4 geographically dispersed locations in the United States were generated using a WNV model-inference forecasting system previously validated with retrospective data. Analysis was performed to evaluate how observational reporting delays of mosquito WNV assay results and human medical records were associated with real-time forecast accuracy.

Exposures

Mosquitoes positive for WNV and human cases.

Main outcomes and measures

Delays in reporting mosquito WNV assay results and human medical records and the association

SUBMITTER: DeFelice NB 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6487631 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature