The Investment Case for Malaria Elimination in Thailand: A Cost-Benefit Analysis.

ABSTRACT: After a dramatic decline in the annual malaria incidence in Thailand since 2000, the Thai government developed a National Malaria Elimination Strategy (NMES) to end local malaria transmission by 2024. This study examines the expected costs and benefits of funding the NMES (elimination scenario) versus not funding malaria elimination programming (resurgence scenario) from 2017 to 2036. Two case projection approaches were used to measure the number of malaria cases over the study period, combined with a set of Thailand-specific economic assumptions, to evaluate the cost of a malaria case and to quantify the cost-benefit ratio of elimination. Model A projects cases based on national historical case data using a log-normal regression and change-point analysis model. Model B projects cases base

SUBMITTER: Sudathip P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6553898 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature