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Estimating under-five mortality in space and time in a developing world context.


ABSTRACT: Accurate estimates of the under-five mortality rate in a developing world context are a key barometer of the health of a nation. This paper describes a new model to analyze survey data on mortality in this context. We are interested in both spatial and temporal description, that is wishing to estimate under-five mortality rate across regions and years and to investigate the association between the under-five mortality rate and spatially varying covariate surfaces. We illustrate the methodology by producing yearly estimates for subnational areas in Kenya over the period 1980-2014 using data from the Demographic and Health Surveys, which use stratified cluster sampling. We use a binomial likelihood with fixed effects for the urban/rural strata and random effects for the clustering to account

SUBMITTER: Wakefield J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6599729 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature