Estimates of past and future time trends in age-specific breast cancer incidence among women in Karachi, Pakistan: 2004-2025.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The current demographic trends indicate that breast cancer will pose an even greater public health concern in future for Pakistan. Details on the incidence, disease severity and mortality in respect of breast cancer are limited and without such data, therefore, future health policies or systems in respect of this disease cannot be strategically planned or implemented. The aim of this study was to examine past trends of age-specific breast cancer incidence rates (2004-2015), and to estimate the future volume of breast cancer cases in Karachi through the year 2025.

Methods

Two statistical methods, namely the functional time series models and the log-linear regression model were used; additionally, their real forecasting efficacy in epidemic time series was also eval

SUBMITTER: Zaheer S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6659231 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature