Resolving Sahelian thunderstorms improves mid-latitude weather forecasts.

ABSTRACT: The summertime West African Sahel has the worldwide highest degree of thunderstorm organisation into long-lived, several hundred-kilometre elongated, fast propagating systems that contribute 90% to the annual rainfall. All current global weather prediction and climate models represent thunderstorms using simplified parameterisation schemes which deteriorates the modelled distribution of rainfall from individual storms and the entire West African monsoon circulation. It is unclear how this misrepresentation of Sahelian convection affects forecasts globally. Our study is the first to demonstrate how a computationally feasible increase of model resolution over West Africa - allowing to avoid convection parameterisation - yields a better representation of organised convection in the Sahel and

SUBMITTER: Pante G 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6677761 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature