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Rodent Host Abundance and Climate Variability as Predictors of Tickborne Disease Risk 1 Year in Advance.


ABSTRACT: Using long-term data on incidences of Lyme disease and tickborne encephalitis, we showed that the dynamics of both diseases in central Europe are predictable from rodent host densities and climate indices. Our approach offers a simple and effective tool to predict a tickborne disease risk 1 year in advance.

SUBMITTER: Tkadlec E 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6711232 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Rodent Host Abundance and Climate Variability as Predictors of Tickborne Disease Risk 1 Year in Advance.

Tkadlec Emil E   Václavík Tomáš T   Široký Pavel P  

Emerging infectious diseases 20190901 9


Using long-term data on incidences of Lyme disease and tickborne encephalitis, we showed that the dynamics of both diseases in central Europe are predictable from rodent host densities and climate indices. Our approach offers a simple and effective tool to predict a tickborne disease risk 1 year in advance. ...[more]