Evidence of crop production losses in West Africa due to historical global warming in two crop models.

ABSTRACT: Achieving food security goals in West Africa will depend on the capacity of the agricultural sector to feed the rapidly growing population and to moderate the adverse impacts of climate change. Indeed, a number of studies anticipate a reduction of the crop yield of the main staple food crops in the region in the coming decades due to global warming. Here, we found that crop production might have already been affected by climate change, with significant yield losses estimated in the historical past. We used a large ensemble of historical climate simulations derived from an atmospheric general circulation model and two process-based crop models, SARRA-H and CYGMA, to evaluate the effects of historical climate change on crop production in West Africa. We generated two ensembles of 100 histori

SUBMITTER: Sultan B 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6731230 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature