Variations in ecosystem service value in response to land use/land cover changes in Central Asia from 1995-2035.

ABSTRACT: Acute farmland expansion and rapid urbanization in Central Asia have accelerated land use/land cover changes, which have substantial effects on ecosystem services. However, the spatiotemporal variations in ecosystem service values (ESVs) in Central Asia are not well understood. Here, based on land use products with 300-m resolution for the years 1995, 2005 and 2015 and transfer methodology, we predicted land use and land cover (LULC) for 2025 and 2035 using CA-Markov, assessed changes in ESVs in response to LULC dynamics, and explored the elasticity of the response of ESV to LULC changes. We found significant expansions of cropland (+22.10%) and urban areas (+322.40%) and shrinking of water bodies (-38.43%) and bare land (-9.42%) during 1995-2035. The combined value of ecosystem services o

SUBMITTER: Li J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6745190 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature