Transport oil product consumption and GHG emission reduction potential in China: An electric vehicle-based scenario analysis.

ABSTRACT: China's transport sector is facing enormous challenges from soaring energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Transport electrification has been viewed as a major solution to transportation decarbonization, and electric vehicles (EVs) have attracted considerable attention from policymakers. This paper analyzes the effects of the introduction of EVs in China. A system dynamics model is developed and applied to assess the energy-saving and emission-reducing impacts of the projected penetration of EVs until the year 2030. Five types of scenarios of various EV penetration rates, electricity generation mixes, and the speed of technological improvement are discussed. Results confirm that reductions in transport GHG emissions and gasoline and diesel consumption by 3.0%-16.2%, 4.4%-16

SUBMITTER: Zheng Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6746360 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature