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ABSTRACT: Background
To develop a machine learning model for predicting acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) events through commonly available parameters, including baseline characteristics and clinical and laboratory parameters.Methods
A secondary analysis of a multi-centre prospective observational cohort study from five hospitals in Beijing, China, was conducted from January 1, 2011, to August 31, 2014. A total of 296 patients at risk for developing ARDS admitted to medical intensive care units (ICUs) were included. We applied a random forest approach to identify the best set of predictors out of 42 variables measured on day 1 of admission.Results
All patients were randomly divided into training (80%) and testing (20%) sets. Additionally, these patients were followed daily and assessed according to the Berlin definition. The model obtained an average area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of 0.82 and yielded a predictive accuracy of 83%. For the first time, four new biomarkers were included in the model: decreased minimum haematocrit, glucose, and sodium and increased minimum white blood cell (WBC) count.Conclusions
This newly established machine learning-based model shows good predictive ability in Chinese patients with ARDS. External validation studies are necessary to confirm the generalisability of our approach across populations and treatment practices.
SUBMITTER: Ding XF
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6771100 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Oct
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

Ding Xian-Fei XF Li Jin-Bo JB Liang Huo-Yan HY Wang Zong-Yu ZY Jiao Ting-Ting TT Liu Zhuang Z Yi Liang L Bian Wei-Shuai WS Wang Shu-Peng SP Zhu Xi X Sun Tong-Wen TW
Journal of translational medicine 20191001 1
<h4>Background</h4>To develop a machine learning model for predicting acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) events through commonly available parameters, including baseline characteristics and clinical and laboratory parameters.<h4>Methods</h4>A secondary analysis of a multi-centre prospective observational cohort study from five hospitals in Beijing, China, was conducted from January 1, 2011, to August 31, 2014. A total of 296 patients at risk for developing ARDS admitted to medical intens ...[more]