Projections of the effects of global warming on the disease burden of ischemic heart disease in the elderly in Tianjin, China.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Ischemic heart disease (IHD) is one of the leading causes of deaths worldwide and causes a tremendous disease burden. Temperature is an important environmental determinant among the many risk factors for IHD. However, the emerging temperature-related health risks of IHD in the elderly is limited because of the lack of estimates that integrate global warming and demographic change. METHODS:Data on daily IHD deaths in the elderly aged ≥65 years and meteorological conditions were collected in Tianjin, a megacity of China, from 2006 to 2011. First, the baseline relationship between the temperature and years of life lost (YLL) from IHD was established. Then, future assessments were performed in combination with temperature projections for 19 global-scale climate models (GCMs) under 3

SUBMITTER: Huang J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6836533 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature