Assessment of Socio-Economic and Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Four European Lagoon Catchments.

ABSTRACT: This study demonstrates the importance of considering potential land use and management changes in climate impact research. By taking into account possible trends of economic development and environmental awareness, we assess effects of global warming on water availability and quality in the catchments of four European lagoons: Ria de Aveiro (Portugal), Mar Menor (Spain), Vistula Lagoon (Poland and Russia), and Tyligulskyi Liman (Ukraine). Different setups of the process-based soil and water integrated model (SWIM), representing one reference and four socio-economic scenarios for each study area: the "business as usual", "crisis", "managed horizons", and "set-aside" scenarios are driven by sets of 15 climate scenarios for a reference (1971-2000) and near future (2011-2040) scenario period.

SUBMITTER: Stefanova A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6875548 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature