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Natural drivers of multidecadal Arctic sea ice variability over the last millennium.


ABSTRACT: The climate varies due to human activity, natural climate cycles, and natural events external to the climate system. Understanding the different roles played by these drivers of variability is fundamental to predicting near-term climate change and changing extremes, and to attributing observed change to anthropogenic or natural factors. Natural drivers such as large explosive volcanic eruptions or multidecadal cycles in ocean circulation occur infrequently and are therefore poorly represented within the observational record. Here we turn to the first high-latitude annually-resolved and absolutely dated marine record spanning the last millennium, and the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) Phase 3 Last Millennium climate model ensemble spanning the same time period, to exa

SUBMITTER: Halloran PR 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6971300 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature