Modelling regional futures at decadal scale: application to the Kimberley region.

ABSTRACT: We address the question of how to provide meaningful scientific information to support environmental decision making at the regional scale and at the temporal scale of several decades in a network of marine parks in the Kimberley region of Western Australia. Where environmental sustainability is affected by slow-dynamics climate change processes and one-off investments in large infrastructure which can affect a region for decades to come, both strategic and reactive planning is necessary and prediction becomes as urgent as standard adaptive management. At the interface between future studies, socio-economic modelling and environmental modelling, we define 18 scenarios of economic development and climate change impacts and five management strategies. We explore these potential futures using

SUBMITTER: Boschetti F 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6972922 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature