Predicting perioperative mortality after radical cystectomy: comorbidity assessment tools are only part of the puzzle.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Fonteyne V
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6987586 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Dec
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Predicting perioperative mortality after radical cystectomy: comorbidity assessment tools are only part of the puzzle.
Fonteyne Valérie V Rammant Elke E Decaestecker Karel K
Translational andrology and urology 20191201 6
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Project description:BackgroundPre-operative risk assessment in radical cystectomy (RC) is an ongoing challenge especially in elderly patients.ObjectiveTo evaluate the ability of comorbidity indices and their combination with clinical parameters in machine learning models to predict mortality and morbidity after RC.MethodsIn 392 patients who underwent open RC, complication and mortality rates were reported. The predictive values of the age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity index (aCCI), the Elixhauser Index (EI), the Physical Status Classification System (ASA) and Gagne's combined comorbidity Index (GCI) were evaluated using regression analyses. Various machine learning models (Gaussian naïve bayes, logistic regression, neural net, decision tree, random forest) were additionally investigated.ResultsThe aCCI, ASA and GCI showed significant results for the prediction of complications (χ2 = 8.8, p < 0.01, χ2 = 15.7, p < 0.01 and χ2 = 4.6, p = 0.03) and mortality (χ2 = 21.1, p < 0.01, χ2 = 25.8, p < 0.01 and χ2 = 2.4, p = 0.04) after RC while the EI showed no significant prediction. However, areas under receiver characteristic curves (AUROCs) revealed good performance only for the prediction of mortality by the aCCI and ASA (0.81 and 0.78, CGI 0.63) while the prediction of complications was poor (aCCI 0.6, ASA 0.63, CGI 0.58). The combination of ASA, age, body mass index and sex in machine learning models showed a better prediction. Gaussian naïve bayes (0.79) and logistic regression (0.76) showed the best performance using a hold-out test set.ConclusionsThe ASA and aCCI show good prediction of mortality after RC but fail predicting complications accurately. Here, the combination of comorbidity indices and clinical parameters in machine learning models seems promising.
| S-EPMC11181714 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveTo determine the characteristics of 90-day morbidity and mortality after radical cystectomy in Japanese octogenarians.MethodsA retrospective multi-institutional study. We reviewed the records of 834 patients treated by open radical cystectomy between 1997 and 2010. All complications within 90 days after surgery were sorted into the 11 categories proposed by the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center and graded according to the modified Clavien-Dindo system. We compared the characteristics of complications between ≥80-year (n = 86) and <80-year (n = 748) groups. Multivariate regression models were used to determine the predictors of complications.ResultsAmerican Society of Anesthesiologists score III-IV was more frequent (14% vs. 6%, respectively, P < 0.0001), and ureterocutaneostomy was more frequently performed (30% vs. 21%, respectively, P = 0.0148) in the ≥80-year group compared with <80-year group. There were no significant differences in the rates of any complication, major (Grade 3-5) complication, or 90-day mortality between the two groups (≥80-year group: 70%, 21%, 3.5%, respectively, <80-year group: 68%, 22%, 2%, respectively). The ≥80-year group had fewer genitourinary complications (7% vs. 16%, respectively, P = 0.0131). Multivariate regression analyses revealed that bowel-using urinary diversion (P = 0.0031) and the operative time (P = 0.0269) were significant predictors of any grade of complications, and a male sex (P = 0.0167), annual cystectomy volume (P = 0.0284) and prior cardiovascular comorbidity (P = 0.0034) were significant predictors of major complications.ConclusionsIn our experience, radical cystectomy in Japanese octogenarians caused similar perioperative comorbidities. Old age as a single criterion should not be used to abandon radical cystectomy; careful preoperative assessment is mandatory.
| S-EPMC5896694 | biostudies-literature
Project description:PurposePre-operative assessment of surgical risk is essential for patient counselling in the elderly patient population. Our purpose was to compare validated geriatric assessment scores (GAS) in predicting postoperative morbidity and mortality in patients ≥ 80 years.MethodsOverall, eight preoperative GAS were assessed for each patient who received RC from 2016 to 2021. Postoperative morbidity was recorded according to the Clavien-Dindo classification (CDC) of surgical complications. Binary logistic regression analyses were used to determine prediction of 30-d morbidity and 90-d mortality in patients ≥ 80 years.ResultsIn total, 424 patients were analysed (77.4% male) with median age of 71 years (IQR: 68.82;70.69), of which 67 (15.8%) were ≥ 80 years. Patients age ≥ 80 years showed more 30-d CDC grade ≥ IIIb (41.07% vs. 27.74% compared to < 80 years, p < .001) and worse 90-d mortality (26.87% vs. 4.76%, p < .001). In patients ≥ 80 years, morbidity was predicted by simplified Frailty Index (sFI) ≥ 2 (OR: 2.06, 95% CI: 1.27-3.34, p = .004), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status ≥ 2 (OR: 2.78, 95% CI: 1.18-6.54, p = .019) and severe Adult Comorbidity Evaluation (ACE)-27 score (OR: 2.07, 95% CI: 1.13-3.79, p = .019), while 90-d mortality was predicted by CDC grade ≥ IIIb (OR: 22.91, 95% CI: 8.74-60.09, p < .001) and ECOG ≥ 2 (OR: 2.87, 95% CI: 1.05-7.86, p = .04).ConclusionEven in a high-volume center of RC, 90-d mortality is significantly higher in patients age ≥ 80. Our results suggest in patient age ≥ 80, sFI ≥ 2, ECOG performance status ≥ 2 and severe ACE-27 score as clinical cut-off value to evaluate alternative bladder-sparing concepts.
| S-EPMC11442567 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Life expectancy is increasing in many parts of the world. Using proportional hazard models for competing risks, we investigated whether this increase has changed outcomes after radical cystectomy in a sample of 1419 consecutive patients treated between 1993 and 2018. During the observation period, the mean age and the proportion of patients with American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status class 3 or 4 increased, whereas the proportion of patients with heart disease decreased. Competing mortality (causes other than bladder cancer) decreased in all subgroups (hazard ratios [HRs] per year ranged from 0.931 to 0.963) and after controlling for increasing age (HRs ranged from 1.018 to 1.081). In an optimal model resulting from an analysis including age (HR per year 1.048, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.027-1.070; p < 0.0001), comorbidity, tumor-related variables, body mass index, (neoadjuvant and adjuvant) chemotherapy and smoking status, the HR per increment for year of surgery was 0.928 (95% CI 0.886-0.973; p = 0.0019). The effect of year of surgery was greater than the decrease in competing mortality that may be expected with increasing life expectancy (4 yr for females, 6 yr for males).Patient summaryIn a review of data for 1993-2018, we found that death from other causes after removal of the bladder (radical cystectomy) for bladder cancer decreased over time. This decreasing trend might increase the age limit at which bladder cancer patients can benefit from radical cystectomy in the future.
| S-EPMC8317886 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ImportanceMortality rates resulting from bladder cancer have remained unchanged for more than 30 years. The surgical community has put hope in robot-assisted radical cystectomy (RARC) with intracorporeal urinary diversion (ICUD) in an effort to improve surgical outcomes and bladder cancer survival without strong supporting evidence.ObjectiveTo evaluate perioperative, safety, and survival outcome differences between RARC with ICUD and open radical cystectomy (ORC).Design, setting, and participantsThis nationwide population-based cohort study used data from the Swedish National Register of Urinary Bladder Cancer and population-based Cause of Death Register, which includes clinical information on tumor characteristics, treatment, and survival and covers approximately 97% of patients with urinary bladder cancer in Sweden. All patients who underwent radical cystectomy for bladder cancer in any hospital between January 2011 and December 2018 were included. Follow-up data were collected until December 2019. Data analysis was conducted from June to December 2020.ExposuresRARC or ORC.Main outcomes and measuresThe main outcomes were all-cause and cancer-specific mortality between RARC and ORC, compared using propensity score matching. Secondary outcomes were differences in perioperative outcomes after the different surgical approaches.ResultsThroughout the observation period, 889 patients underwent RARC and 2280 patients underwent ORC at 24 Swedish hospitals. The median (IQR) age was 71 (66-76) years and 2386 patients (75.3%) were men. After a median (IQR) follow-up of 47 (28-71) months, the 5-year cancer-specific mortality rates were 30.2% (variance, 1.59) for ORC and 27.6% (variance, 3.12) for RARC, and the overall survival rates were 57.7% (variance, 2.46) for ORC and 61.4% (variance, 5.11) for RARC. In the propensity score-matched analysis, RARC was associated with a lower all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.56-0.89; P = .004). Compared with ORC, RARC was associated with a lower estimated blood loss (median [IQR] 150 [100-300] mL vs 700 [400-1300] mL; P < .001), intraoperative transfusion rate (odds ratio [OR], 0.05; 95% CI, 0.03-0.08; P < .001), and shorter length of stay (median [IQR], 9 [6-13] days vs 13 [10-17] days; P < .001), and with a higher lymph node yield (median [IQR], 20 [15-27] lymph nodes vs 14 [8-24] lymph nodes; P < .001) and 90-day rehospitalization rate (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.02-1.60; P = .03). The RARC group, compared with the ORC group had lower risk of Clavien-Dindo grade III or higher complications (OR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.43-0.87; P = .009).Conclusions and relevanceThese findings suggest that compared with ORC, RARC with ICUD was associated with a lower overall mortality rate, fewer high-grade complications, and more favorable perioperative outcomes.
| S-EPMC9051984 | biostudies-literature
Project description:IntroductionWe sought to determine the effect of the presence of disseminated disease on perioperative outcomes following radical cystectomy for bladder cancer.MethodsWe identified 4108 eligible patients who underwent radical cystectomy for bladder cancer using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database. We matched patients with disseminated cancer at the time of surgery to those without disseminated cancer using propensity scores. The primary outcome of interest was major complications (death, reoperation, cardiac or neurological event). Secondary outcomes included pulmonary, infectious thromboembolic, and bleeding complications, in addition to prolonged length of stay. Generalized estimating equations were used to examine the association between disseminated cancer and the development of complications.ResultsFollowing propensity score matching and adjusting for the type of urinary diversion, radical cystectomy in patients with disseminated disease was associated with a significant increase in major complications (8.6% vs. 4.0%; odds ratio [OR] 2.50; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-6.11; p=0.045). The presence of disseminated disease was associated with an increase in pulmonary complications (5.8% vs. 1.2%; OR 5.17. 95% CI 1.00-26.66. p=0.049), but not infectious complications, venous thromboembolism, bleeding requiring transfusion, and prolonged length of stay (p values 0.07-0.79).ConclusionsPatients with disseminated cancer undergoing cystectomy are more likely to experience major and pulmonary complications. The strength of these conclusions is limited by sample size, selection bias inherent in observational data, and a lack of specific oncological detail in the database.
| S-EPMC5542830 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background:To utilize a semi-competing risk model to predict perioperative and oncologic outcomes after radical cystectomy and to compare the findings with the univariate Cox regression model. Methods:We reviewed the Institutional Review Board approved database of radical cystectomy of 316 patients who had undergone robot-assisted radical cystectomy (RARC) or open radical cystectomy between 2006 and 2016. Demographic data, perioperative outcomes, complications, metastasis, and survival were analyzed. The Bayesian variable selection method was utilized to obtain models for each hazard function in the semi-competing risks. Results:Of 316 patients treated, 48% and 18% experienced any or major complication respectively within 30 days. Intracorporeal RARC was associated with decreased metastasis risk. Extracorporeal RARC was associated with marginally decreased risks of overall complications or major complications. Patients with advanced cancer had an increased risk of metastasis, death after metastasis and death after complication. Positive nodes were associated with an increased risk of death without overall or major complications and increased risk of death after metastasis occurs. When a serious complication was taken into account there was no significant difference in mortality, irrespective of disease stage. Conclusions:A semi-competing risk model provides relatively more accurate information in comparison to Cox regression analysis in predicting risk factors for complications and metastasis in patients undergoing radical cystectomy.
| S-EPMC6180382 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveTo examine the impact of increased compliance to contemporary perioperative care measures, as outlined by enhanced recover after surgery (ERAS) guidelines, among patients undergoing radical cystectomy (RC).Patients and methodsFrom the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database we captured patients undergoing RC between 2019 and 2021. We identified five perioperative care measures: regional anaesthesia block, thromboembolism prophylaxis, ≤24 h perioperative antibiotic administration, absence of bowel preparation, and early oral diet. We stratified patients by the number of measures utilised (one to five). Statistical endpoints included 30-day complications, hospital length of stay (LOS), readmissions, and optimal RC outcome. Optimal RC outcome was defined as absence of any postoperative complication, re-operation, prolonged LOS (75th percentile, 8 days) with no readmission. Multivariable regressions with Bonferroni correction were performed to assess the association between use of contemporary perioperative care measures and outcomes.ResultsOf the 3702 patients who underwent RC, 73 (2%), 417 (11%), 1010 (27%), 1454 (39%), and 748 (20%) received one, two, three, four, and five interventions, respectively. On multivariable analysis, increased perioperative care measures were associated with lower odds of any complication (odds ratio [OR] 0.66, 99% confidence interval [CI] 0.6-0.73), and shorter LOS (β -0.82, 99% CI -0.99 to -0.65). Furthermore, patients with increased compliance to contemporary care measures had increased odds of an optimal outcome (OR 1.38, 99% CI 1.26-1.51).ConclusionsAmong the measures we assessed, greater adherence yielded improved postoperative outcomes among patients undergoing RC. Our work supports the efficacy of ERAS protocols in reducing the morbidity associated with RC.
| S-EPMC11628928 | biostudies-literature
Project description:PurposeWe performed a retrospective analysis of patients treated with radical cystectomy and lymphadenectomy (LAD) for bladder cancer to assess the differential association of the extent of LAD with perioperative complications and re-hospitalization.Materials and methodsLAD templates were defined as limited (lLAD = external, internal iliac and obturator), extended (eLAD = up to crossing of ureter and presacral lymph nodes), and super-extended (sLAD = up to the inferior mesenteric artery). Logistic regression models investigated the association of LAD templates with intraoperative, 30- and 30-90-day postoperative complications, as well as re-hospitalizations within 30 and 30-90 days.ResultsA total of 284 patients were available for analysis. sLAD led to a higher lymph-node yield (median 39 vs 13 for lLAD and 31 for eLAD, p < 0.05) and N2/N3 status compared to lLAD and eLAD (p = 0.04). sLAD was associated with a blood loss of > 500 ml (OR 1.3, 95% CI 1.08-1.49, p = 0.003) but not with intraoperative transfusion, operation time, or length of hospital stay (p > 0.05). Overall, 11 (4%) patients were readmitted within 30 days and 50 (17.6%) within 30-90 days. The 30- and 30-90-day mortality rates were 2.8% and 1.4%, respectively. On logistic regression, LAD template was not associated with postoperative complications or re-hospitalization rates.ConclusionssLAD leads to higher lymph-node yield and N2/N3 rate but not to higher complication rate compared to lLAD and eLAD. With the advent of novel adjuvant systemic therapies, precise nodal staging will have a crucial role in patients counseling and clinical decision making.
| S-EPMC6954123 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe use of robot-assisted radical cystectomy (RARC) has increased rapidly in the past decade. However, reports of intracorporeal neobladder diversion remain limited. This article aimed to provide the surgical steps for RARC with totally intracorporeal neobladder diversion and the present perioperative, oncologic, and functional outcomes.MethodsBetween June 2017 and January 2020, RARC with intracorporeal neobladder diversion was performed in 12 male patients. Perioperative variables, pathologic data, early and late complications, urinary continence, potency, and recurrence-free survival were evaluated as outcome measures.ResultsThe surgery was successful in all cases without open conversion. The median operative time, estimated blood loss, and postoperative hospital stay were 419 min (range, 315-640 min), 400 mL (range, 250-1,200 mL), and 14.5 days (range, 9-25 days), respectively. No positive surgical margins nor lymph nodes were observed. Eleven minor (grades 1 and 2) and one major (grades 3-5) complications were found in the early (0-30 days) period and six minor and one major complications in the late (>30 days) period. The median follow-up time was 13.1 months (range, 5.4-32.0 months), and two patients died due to metastatic disease. At 6 months after surgery, the daytime continence rate was 90.0%, while the nighttime continence rate was 80.0%. Only two patients (16.7%) reported capability of potency. The study was limited by a small sample size and short follow-up.ConclusionsRARC with intracorporeal neobladder is a complex procedure but technically feasible with acceptable oncologic and functional outcomes. Studies with long-term follow ups and increased number of cases and randomized trials are indispensable to assess the potential of this technique.
| S-EPMC7807315 | biostudies-literature