Ecological costs of climate change on marine predator-prey population distributions by 2050.

ABSTRACT: Identifying and quantifying the effects of climate change that alter the habitat overlap of marine predators and their prey population distributions is of great importance for the sustainable management of populations. This study uses Bayesian joint models with integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA) to predict future spatial density distributions in the form of common spatial trends of predator-prey overlap in 2050 under the "business-as-usual, worst-case" climate change scenario. This was done for combinations of six mobile marine predator species (gray seal, harbor seal, harbor porpoise, common guillemot, black-legged kittiwake, and northern gannet) and two of their common prey species (herring and sandeels). A range of five explanatory variables that cover both physical and biol

SUBMITTER: Sadykova D 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6988555 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature