Age-period-cohort projection of trends in blood pressure and body mass index in children and adolescents in Hong Kong.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Blood pressure (BP) and body mass index (BMI) trends during childhood and adolescence are complex, making context-specific projections necessary to inform prevention and presage changes. OBJECTIVE:This study aimed to project BP and BMI in Hong Kong Chinese children and adolescents from 2015 to 2024 based on trends in BP and BMI observed from 1996/99 to 2014. METHODS:We decomposed recent trends into sex-specific contributions of age, period and cohort using age-period-cohort linear regression with Bayesian inference and autoregressive priors based on BP in children and adolescents aged 9-18 years from 1999 to 2014 and BMI in those aged 6-18 years from 1996 to 2014. We then used the resultant models to project BP and BMI from 2015 to 2024. RESULTS:During the study period, systolic

SUBMITTER: Kwok MK 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6990538 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature