Probabilistic reanalysis of storm surge extremes in Europe.

ABSTRACT: Extreme sea levels are a significant threat to life, property, and the environment. These threats are managed by coastal planers through the implementation of risk mitigation strategies. Central to such strategies is knowledge of extreme event probabilities. Typically, these probabilities are estimated by fitting a suitable distribution to the observed extreme data. Estimates, however, are often uncertain due to the small number of extreme events in the tide gauge record and are only available at gauged locations. This restricts our ability to implement cost-effective mitigation. A remarkable fact about sea-level extremes is the existence of spatial dependences, yet the vast majority of studies to date have analyzed extremes on a site-by-site basis. Here we demonstrate that spatial depende

SUBMITTER: Calafat FM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6994974 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature