Real-time forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic in China from February 5th to February 24th, 2020.

ABSTRACT: The initial cluster of severe pneumonia cases that triggered the COVID-19 epidemic was identified in Wuhan, China in December 2019. While early cases of the disease were linked to a wet market, human-to-human transmission has driven the rapid spread of the virus throughout China. The Chinese government has implemented containment strategies of city-wide lockdowns, screening at airports and train stations, and isolation of suspected patients; however, the cumulative case count keeps growing every day. The ongoing outbreak presents a challenge for modelers, as limited data are available on the early growth trajectory, and the epidemiological characteristics of the novel coronavirus are yet to be fully elucidated. We use phenomenological models that have been validated during previous outbrea

SUBMITTER: Roosa K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7033348 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature