Can temporal covariation and autocorrelation in demographic rates affect population dynamics in a raptor species?

ABSTRACT: Theoretical studies suggest that temporal covariation among and temporal autocorrelation within demographic rates are important features of population dynamics. Yet, empirical studies have rarely focused on temporal covariation and autocorrelation limiting our understanding of these patterns in natural populations. This lack of knowledge restrains our ability to fully understand population dynamics and to make reliable population forecasts. In order to fill this gap, we used a long-term monitoring (15 years) of a kestrel Falco tinnunculus population to investigate covariation and autocorrelation in survival and reproduction at the population level and their impact on population dynamics. Using Bayesian joint analyses, we found support for positive covariation between survival and reproduct

SUBMITTER: Fay R 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7042680 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature