Spatio-temporal dynamics of measles outbreaks in Cameroon.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

In 2012, Cameroon experienced a large measles outbreak of over 14,000 cases. To determine the spatio-temporal dynamics of measles transmission in Cameroon, we analyzed weekly case data collected by the Ministry of Health.

Methods

We compared several multivariate time-series models of population movement to characterize the spatial spread of measles in Cameroon. Using the best model, we evaluated the contribution of population mobility to disease transmission at increasing geographic resolutions: region, department, and health district.

Results

Our spatio-temporal analysis showed that the power law model, which accounts for long-distance population movement, best represents the spatial spread of measles in Cameroon. Population movement between health districts

SUBMITTER: Parpia AS 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7056523 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature