Provincial and gridded population projection for China under shared socioeconomic pathways from 2010 to 2100.

ABSTRACT: In response to a growing demand for subnational and spatially explicit data on China's future population, this study estimates China's provincial population from 2010 to 2100 by age (0-100+), sex (male and female) and educational levels (illiterate, primary school, junior-high school, senior-high school, college, bachelor's, and master's and above) under different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). The provincial projection takes into account fertility promoting policies and population ceiling restrictions of megacities that have been implemented in China in recent years to reduce systematic biases in current studies. The predicted provincial population is allocated to spatially explicit population grids for each year at 30 arc-seconds resolution based on representative concentration pa

SUBMITTER: Chen Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7062824 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature