Interventions to mitigate early spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Singapore: a modelling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Since the coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak began in the Chinese city of Wuhan on Dec 31, 2019, 68 imported cases and 175 locally acquired infections have been reported in Singapore. We aimed to investigate options for early intervention in Singapore should local containment (eg, preventing disease spread through contact tracing efforts) be unsuccessful.

Methods

We adapted an influenza epidemic simulation model to estimate the likelihood of human-to-human transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in a simulated Singaporean population. Using this model, we estimated the cumulative number of SARS-CoV-2 infections at 80 days, after detection of 100 cases of community transmission, under three infectivity scenarios (basic reproductio

SUBMITTER: Koo JR 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7158571 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature