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Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: a Boltzmann function-based modeling study.

ABSTRACT: The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3187-3394) in China; 110 (95% CI, 109-112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95% CI, 3095-3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95% CI, 2494-2621) in Wuhan City; and 617 (95% CI, 607-632) outside Wuhan.

SUBMITTER: Gao Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7163192 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: a Boltzmann function-based modeling study.

Gao Yuanyuan Y Zhang Zuqin Z Yao Wei W Ying Qi Q Long Cheng C Fu Xinmiao X

Infection control and hospital epidemiology 20200402 7

The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3187-3394) in China; 110 (95% CI, 109-112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95% CI, 3095-3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95% CI, 2494-2621) in Wuhan City; and 617 (95% CI, 607-632) outside Wuhan. ...[more]

PMID: 32238216

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