Estimating excess 1-year mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic according to underlying conditions and age: a population-based cohort study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The medical, societal, and economic impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has unknown effects on overall population mortality. Previous models of population mortality are based on death over days among infected people, nearly all of whom thus far have underlying conditions. Models have not incorporated information on high-risk conditions or their longer-term baseline (pre-COVID-19) mortality. We estimated the excess number of deaths over 1 year under different COVID-19 incidence scenarios based on varying levels of transmission suppression and differing mortality impacts based on different relative risks for the disease.

Methods

In this population-based cohort study, we used linked primary and secondary care electronic health records from Engl

SUBMITTER: Banerjee A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7217641 | biostudies-literature | 2020 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature