Evaluation of the potential incidence of COVID-19 and effectiveness of containment measures in Spain: a data-driven approach.

ABSTRACT:

Background

We are currently experiencing an unprecedented challenge, managing and containing an outbreak of a new coronavirus disease known as COVID-19. While China-where the outbreak started-seems to have been able to contain the growth of the epidemic, different outbreaks are nowadays present in multiple countries. Nonetheless, authorities have taken action and implemented containment measures, even if not everything is known.

Methods

To facilitate this task, we have studied the effect of different containment strategies that can be put into effect. Our work referred initially to the situation in Spain as of February 28, 2020, where a few dozens of cases had been detected, but has been updated to match the current situation as of 13 April. We implemented an SEIR metapopula

SUBMITTER: Aleta A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7250661 | biostudies-literature | 2020 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature