A novel nomogram to predict all-cause readmission or death risk in Chinese elderly patients with heart failure.

ABSTRACT:

Aims

Elderly patients with heart failure (HF) are associated with frequent all-cause readmission or death. The present study sought to develop an accurate and easy-to-use model to predict all-cause readmission or death risk in Chinese elderly patients with HF.

Methods and results

This was a prospective cohort study in patients with HF aged 65 or older. Demographic, co-morbidity, laboratory, and medication data were collected. A Cox regression model was used to identify factors for the prediction of readmission or death at 30 days and 1 year. A nomogram was developed with bootstrap validation. Of the included 854 patients, the cumulative all-cause readmission and mortality rates were 10.5% and 11.6% at 30 days and 34.9% and 19.7% at 1 year, respectively. The independent risk

SUBMITTER: Yang M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7261546 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature