Severe airport sanitarian control could slow down the spreading of COVID-19 pandemics in Brazil.

ABSTRACT:

Background

We investigated a likely scenario of COVID-19 spreading in Brazil through the complex airport network of the country, for the 90 days after the first national occurrence of the disease. After the confirmation of the first imported cases, the lack of a proper airport entrance control resulted in the infection spreading in a manner directly proportional to the amount of flights reaching each city, following the first occurrence of the virus coming from abroad.

Methodology

We developed a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model divided in a metapopulation structure, where cities with airports were demes connected by the number of flights. Subsequently, we further explored the role of the Manaus airport for a rapid entrance of the pandemic into indigenous territories situ

SUBMITTER: Ribeiro SP 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7321664 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature