Effects of meteorological factors on the incidence of mumps and models for prediction, China.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Mumps is an acute respiratory infectious disease with obvious regional and seasonal differences. Exploring the impact of climate factors on the incidence of mumps and predicting its incidence trend on this basis could effectively control the outbreak and epidemic of mumps. METHODS:Considering the great differences of climate in the vast territory of China, this study divided the Chinese mainland into seven regions according to the administrative planning criteria, data of Mumps were collected from the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System, ARIMA model and ARIMAX model with meteorological factors were established to predict the incidence of mumps. RESULTS:In this study, we found that precipitation, air pressure, temperature, and wind speed had an impact on the i

SUBMITTER: Zha WT 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7331163 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature