Project description:Previous studies investigating factors influencing healthcare expenditure growth ignored the network transmission mechanisms of disease-specific healthcare expenditure spillovers and regarded the processes culminating in healthcare expenditure growth as a black box. In this study, we investigated factors influencing the network transmission mechanisms underlying the determinants of healthcare expenditure growth through the dynamic connectedness network and the robust least square regression analyses. Our results indicate that demographic transition and business cycles are key factors increasing interconnectedness of different disease-specific healthcare expenditures, and that promotion of primary care utilization would reduce total healthcare expenditure spillovers. In order to reduce diffusion of disease-specific healthcare expenditures, health promotion activities should focus on those clinical diagnosis-related groups of diseases classified as pure net transmitters of spillover, and preventive interventions targeting different diseases should be activated in different phrases of the business cycle.
Project description:This paper takes the unexpected event of the new coronavirus as the research background, selects the daily closing price data of the financial sectors (banking, insurance, securities, and multifinance) from 20 June 2017 to 31 December 2023. It then applies the TVP-VAR-DY model to empirically study the risk spillover effect among financial sectors. The study identified three distinct stages: before, during, and after the epidemic. It revealed that the total systematic spillover exhibited an initial increase, followed by a subsequent decrease. Notably, the fluctuation in this phenomenon intensified significantly during the epidemic. The securities sector emerged as the most susceptible to spillover risks from other sectors and, in turn, the most vulnerable to risk contagion from other sectors. Conversely, the banking sector demonstrated relative stability. Furthermore, the multifinance sector is more susceptible to risk contagion from other sectors during the pre-epidemic and mid-epidemic stages. However, following the epidemic, as the economy has not yet fully recovered, the multifinance sector is more likely to experience spillover risks from other sectors, and the insurance sector also primarily acts as a risk spillover. Finally, five different lag orders were selected to test the robustness of the empirical results of the model. The test results demonstrated that the model was valid and the results were feasible.
Project description:Research on communities and crime has predominantly focused on social conditions within an area or in its immediate proximity. However, a growing body of research shows that people often travel to areas away from home, contributing to connections between places. A few studies highlight the criminological implications of such connections, focusing on important but rare ties like co-offending or gang conflicts. The current study extends this idea by analyzing more common ties based on commuting across Chicago communities. It integrates standard criminological methods with machine learning and computational statistics approaches to investigate the extent to which neighborhood crime depends on the disadvantage of areas connected to it through commuting. The findings suggest that connected communities can influence each other from a distance and that connectivity to less disadvantaged work hubs may decrease local crime-with implications for advancing knowledge on the relational ecology of crime, social isolation, and ecological networks.
Project description:In this paper, we analyze the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on global stock sectors from two perspectives. First, to measure the effect of the COVID-19 on the volatility connectedness among global stock sectors in the time–frequency domain, we combine the time-varying connectedness and frequency connectedness method and focus on the total, directional, and net connectedness. The empirical results indicate a dramatic rise in the total connectedness among the global stock sectors following the outbreak of COVID-19. However, the high level of the total connectedness lasted only about two months, representing that the impact of COVID-19 is significant but not durable. Furthermore, we observe that the directional and net connectedness changes of different stock sectors during the COVID-19 pandemic are heterogeneous, and the diverse possible driving factors. In addition, the transmission of spillovers among sectors is driven mainly by the high-frequency component (short-term spillovers) during the full sample time. However, the effects of the COVID-19 outbreak also persisted in the long term. Second, we explore how the changing COVID-19 pandemic intensity (represented by the daily new COVID-19 confirmed cases and the daily new COVID-19 death cases worldwide) affect the daily returns of the global stock sectors by using the Quantile-on-Quantile Regression (QQR) methodology of Sim and Zhou (2015). The results indicate the different characteristics in responses of the stock sectors to the pandemic intensity. Specifically, most sectors are severely impacted by the COVID-19. In contrast, some sectors (Necessary Consume and Medical & Health) that are least affected by the COVID-19 pandemic (especially in the milder stage of the COVID-19 pandemic) are those that are related to the provision of goods and services which can be considered as necessities and substitutes. These results also hold after several robustness checks. Our findings may help understand the sectoral dynamics in the global stock market and provide significant implications for portfolio managers, investors, and government agencies in times of highly stressful events like the COVID-19 crisis.
Project description:Oligonucleotide and complementary DNA microarrays are being used to subclassify histologically similar tumours, monitor disease progress, and individualize treatment regimens. However, extracting new biological insight from high-throughput genomic studies of human diseases is a challenge, limited by difficulties in recognizing and evaluating relevant biological processes from huge quantities of experimental data. Here we present a structured network knowledge-base approach to analyse genome-wide transcriptional responses in the context of known functional interrelationships among proteins, small molecules and phenotypes. This approach was used to analyse changes in blood leukocyte gene expression patterns in human subjects receiving an inflammatory stimulus (bacterial endotoxin). We explore the known genome-wide interaction network to identify significant functional modules perturbed in response to this stimulus. Our analysis reveals that the human blood leukocyte response to acute systemic inflammation includes the transient dysregulation of leukocyte bioenergetics and modulation of translational machinery. These findings provide insight into the regulation of global leukocyte activities as they relate to innate immune system tolerance and increased susceptibility to infection in humans. Keywords: Gene expression profiling of human blood leukocytes in response to in vivo endotoxin administration.
Project description:Design of allosteric regulators is an emergent field in the area of drug discovery holding promise for currently untreated diseases. Allosteric regulators bind to a protein in one location and affect a distant site. The ubiquitous presence of allosteric effectors in biology and the success of serendipitously identified allosteric compounds point to the potential they hold. Although the mechanism of transmission of an allosteric signal is not unequivocally determined, one hypothesis suggests that groups of evolutionarily covarying residues within a protein, termed sectors, are conduits. A long-term goal of our lab is to allosterically modulate the activity of proteins by binding small molecules at points of allosteric control. However, methods to consistently identify such points remain unclear. Sector residues on the surfaces of proteins are a promising source of allosteric targets. Recently, we introduced molecular dynamics (MD)-based sectors; MD sectors capitalize on covariance of motion, in place of evolutionary covariance. By focusing on motional covariance, MD sectors tap into the framework of statistical mechanics afforded by the Boltzmann ensemble of structural conformations comprising the underlying data set. We hypothesized that the method of MD sectors can be used to identify a cohesive network of motionally covarying residues capable of transmitting an allosteric signal in a protein. While our initial qualitative results showed promise for the method to predict sectors, that a network of cohesively covarying residues had been produced remained an untested assumption. In this work, we apply network theory to rigorously analyze MD sectors, allowing us to quantitatively assess the biologically relevant property of network cohesiveness of sectors in the context of the tumor suppressor protein, p53. We revised the methodology for assessing and improving MD sectors. Specifically, we introduce a metric to calculate the cohesive properties of the network. Our new approach separates residues into two categories: sector residues and non-sector residues. The relatedness within each respective group is computed with a distance metric. Cohesive sector networks are identified as those that have high relatedness among the sector residues which exceeds the relatedness of the residues to the non-sector residues in terms of the correlation of motions. Our major finding was that the revised means of obtaining sectors was more efficacious than previous iterations, as evidenced by the greater cohesion of the networks. These results are discussed in the context of the development of allosteric regulators of p53 in particular and the expected applicability of the method to the drug design field in general.
Project description:BackgroundLittle is known on the comparative effect of work economic sectors on multiple cardiovascular risk factors. Such information may be useful to target Public health interventions, e.g., through the occupational medicine. We investigated whether and how a large panel of cardiovascular risk factors varied between 11 work economic sectors.MethodsData on 4360 participants from the French RECORD Study geolocated at their residence were analyzed. Ten outcomes were assessed: body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, systolic and diastolic blood pressure (BP), pulse pressure, total cholesterol, glycaemia, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, and resting heart rate. Multilevel linear regression models stratified by sex and adjusted for individual and neighborhood sociodemographic characteristics were estimated.ResultsAmong men, the Health and social work sector was found to be the most protective sector for BMI, waist circumference, and glycaemia (while the Construction sector and the Transport and communications sector tended to be unfavorable for these outcomes). The Health and social work sector was also associated with higher HDL cholesterol among men. However, men working in the Health and social work sector showed the highest systolic BP and pulse pressure. Women working in the Health and social work sector had the highest BMI, the largest waist circumference, and the most elevated systolic and diastolic BP. The Commercial and repair of vehicles sector, the Transport and communication sector, and the Collective, social, and personal services sector were associated with a more favorable profile for these risk factors among women.ConclusionWork economic sectors contribute to shape metabolic and cardiovascular parameters after adjustment for individual/neighborhood sociodemographic characteristics. However, patterns of associations varied strikingly according to the risk factor examined and between men and women. Such findings may be useful to target interventions for reducing cardiovascular risk, e.g., through the occupational medicine.
Project description:The Covid-19 pandemic has challenged public health practitioners and clinicians at multiple levels to intentionally consider the impact of social isolation on health outcomes. Many community-based programmes design interventions to address tangible challenges within the social determinants of health, such as asset insecurity or food insecurity, to address health inequities. The growing need to address social isolation within marginalised communities also requires organisations to collaborate and create community partnerships that strengthen their own social integration within the community. The present research reports on the results of a Social Network Analysis (SNA) of community programmes within three southern U.S. cities and their local collaborations to address social isolation. After interviewing representatives of 46 community organisations, it was found that social service organisations that also offer public health services play a central role in community efforts to improve social isolation. The participating organisations primarily collaborate through referrals and information sharing, and report inadequate resources. With a growing recognition that social services and supports play a considerable role in addressing health inequities, this study provides evidence of opportunities for interorganisational collaboration to promote individual and community health.
Project description:The Connectedness to Nature Scale (CNS) is used as a measure of the subjective cognitive connection between individuals and nature. However, to date, it has not been analyzed at the item level to confirm its quality. In the present study, we conduct such an analysis based on Item Response Theory. We employed data from previous studies using the Spanish-language version of the CNS, analyzing a sample of 1008 participants. The results show that seven items presented appropriate indices of discrimination and difficulty, in addition to a good fit. The remaining six have inadequate discrimination indices and do not present a good fit. A second study with 321 participants shows that the seven-item scale has adequate levels of reliability and validity. Therefore, it would be appropriate to use a reduced version of the scale after eliminating the items that display inappropriate behavior, since they may interfere with research results on connectedness to nature.