Transmissibility of COVID-19 in 11 major cities in China and its association with temperature and humidity in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Chengdu.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The new coronavirus disease COVID-19 began in December 2019 and has spread rapidly by human-to-human transmission. This study evaluated the transmissibility of the infectious disease and analyzed its association with temperature and humidity to study the propagation pattern of COVID-19.

Methods

In this study, we revised the reported data in Wuhan based on several assumptions to estimate the actual number of confirmed cases considering that perhaps not all cases could be detected and reported in the complex situation there. Then we used the equation derived from the Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model to calculate R₀ from January 24, 2020 to February 13, 2020 in 11 major cities in China for comparison. With the calculation results, we c

SUBMITTER: Guo XJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7348130 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature