Early epidemiological assessment of the transmission potential and virulence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan City, China, January-February, 2020.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Since the first cluster of cases was identified in Wuhan City, China, in December 2019, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) rapidly spreads globally. Scientists have made strides in estimating key transmission and epidemiological parameters. In particular, accumulating evidence points to a substantial fraction of asymptomatic or subclinical infections, which influences our understanding of the transmission potential and severity of this emerging disease. In this study, we derive estimates of the transmissibility and virulence of COVID-19 in Wuhan City, China, by reconstructing the underlying transmission dynamics using multiple data sources.

Methods

We employ statistical methods and publicly available epidemiological datasets to jointly derive estimates of transmi

SUBMITTER: Mizumoto K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7360469 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature