National age and coresidence patterns shape COVID-19 vulnerability.

ABSTRACT: Based on harmonized census data from 81 countries, we estimate how age and coresidence patterns shape the vulnerability of countries' populations to outbreaks of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We estimate variation in deaths arising due to a simulated random infection of 10% of the population living in private households and subsequent within-household transmission of the virus. The age structures of European and North American countries increase their vulnerability to COVID-related deaths in general. The coresidence patterns of elderly persons in Africa and parts of Asia increase these countries' vulnerability to deaths induced by within-household transmission of COVID-19. Southern European countries, which have aged populations and relatively high levels of intergenerational coresi

SUBMITTER: Esteve A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7368248 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature