Spatiotemporal transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on critical healthcare capacity.

ABSTRACT: The role of geospatial disparities in the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic is poorly understood. We developed a spatially-explicit mathematical model to simulate transmission dynamics of COVID-19 disease infection in relation with the uneven distribution of the healthcare capacity in Ohio, U.S. The results showed substantial spatial variation in the spread of the disease, with localized areas showing marked differences in disease attack rates. Higher COVID-19 attack rates experienced in some highly connected and urbanized areas (274 cases per 100,000 people) could substantially impact the critical health care response of these areas regardless of their potentially high healthcare capacity compared to more rural and less connected counterparts (85 cases per 100,000). Accounting for the spa

SUBMITTER: Cuadros DF 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7381891 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature