Comparative infection modeling and control of COVID-19 transmission patterns in China, South Korea, Italy and Iran.

ABSTRACT: The COVID-19 has become a pandemic. The timing and nature of the COVID-19 pandemic response and control varied among the regions and from one country to the other, and their role in affecting the spread of the disease has been debated. The focus of this work is on the early phase of the disease when control measures can be most effective. We proposed a modified susceptible-exposed-infected-removed model (SEIR) model based on temporal moving windows to quantify COVID-19 transmission patterns and compare the temporal progress of disease spread in six representative regions worldwide: three Chinese regions (Zhejiang, Guangdong and Xinjiang) vs. three countries (South Korea, Italy and Iran). It was found that in the early phase of COVID-19 spread the disease follows a certain empirical law tha

SUBMITTER: He J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7397934 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature