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Feasibility study of mitigation and suppression strategies for controlling COVID-19 outbreaks in London and Wuhan.


ABSTRACT: Recent outbreaks of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has led a global pandemic cross the world. Most countries took two main interventions: suppression like immediate lockdown cities at epicenter or mitigation that slows down but not stopping epidemic for reducing peak healthcare demand. Both strategies have their apparent merits and limitations; it becomes extremely hard to conduct one intervention as the most feasible way to all countries. Targeting at this problem, this paper conducted a feasibility study by defining a mathematical model named SEMCR, it extended traditional SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered) model by adding two key features: a direct connection between Exposed and Recovered populations, and separating infections into mild and critical cases. It defined p

SUBMITTER: Yang P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7410247 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature