Mathematically modeling spillovers of an emerging infectious zoonosis with an intermediate host.

ABSTRACT: Modeling the behavior of zoonotic pandemic threats is a key component of their control. Many emerging zoonoses, such as SARS, Nipah, and Hendra, mutated from their wild type while circulating in an intermediate host population, usually a domestic species, to become more transmissible among humans, and this transmission route will only become more likely as agriculture and trade intensifies around the world. Passage through an intermediate host enables many otherwise rare diseases to become better adapted to humans, and so understanding this process with accurate mathematical models is necessary to prevent epidemics of emerging zoonoses, guide policy interventions in public health, and predict the behavior of an epidemic. In this paper, we account for a zoonotic disease mutating in an inter

SUBMITTER: Royce K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7449412 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature