Modeling the relative role of human mobility, land-use and climate factors on dengue outbreak emergence in Sri Lanka.

ABSTRACT:

Background

More than 80,000 dengue cases including 215 deaths were reported nationally in less than 7 months between 2016 and 2017, a fourfold increase in the number of reported cases compared to the average number over 2010-2016. The region of Negombo, located in the Western province, experienced the greatest number of dengue cases in the country and is the focus area of our study, where we aim to capture the spatial-temporal dynamics of dengue transmission.

Methods

We present a statistical modeling framework to evaluate the spatial-temporal dynamics of the 2016-2017 dengue outbreak in the Negombo region of Sri Lanka as a function of human mobility, land-use, and climate patterns. The analysis was conducted at a 1 km × 1 km spatial resolution and a weekly temporal resolutio

SUBMITTER: Zhang Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7469426 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature