Quantifying the information impact of future searches for exoplanetary biosignatures.

ABSTRACT: One of the major goals for astronomy in the next decades is the remote search for biosignatures (i.e., the spectroscopic evidence of biological activity) in exoplanets. Here we adopt a Bayesian statistical framework to discuss the implications of such future searches, both in the case when life is detected and when no definite evidence is found. We show that even a single detection of biosignatures in the vicinity of our stellar system, in a survey of similar size to what will be obtainable in the next 2 decades, would affect significantly our prior belief on the frequency of life in the universe, even starting from a neutral or pessimistic stance. In particular, after such discovery, an initially agnostic observer would be led to conclude that there are more than [Formula: see text] inhab

SUBMITTER: Balbi A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7474626 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature