Latent likelihood ratio tests for assessing spatial kernels in epidemic models.

ABSTRACT: One of the most important issues in the critical assessment of spatio-temporal stochastic models for epidemics is the selection of the transmission kernel used to represent the relationship between infectious challenge and spatial separation of infected and susceptible hosts. As the design of control strategies is often based on an assessment of the distance over which transmission can realistically occur and estimation of this distance is very sensitive to the choice of kernel function, it is important that models used to inform control strategies can be scrutinised in the light of observation in order to elicit possible evidence against the selected kernel function. While a range of approaches to model criticism is in existence, the field remains one in which the need for further researc

SUBMITTER: Thong D 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7519007 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature