Response strategies for COVID-19 epidemics in African settings: a mathematical modelling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The health impact of COVID-19 may differ in African settings as compared to countries in Europe or China due to demographic, epidemiological, environmental and socio-economic factors. We evaluated strategies to reduce SARS-CoV-2 burden in African countries, so as to support decisions that balance minimising mortality, protecting health services and safeguarding livelihoods.

Methods

We used a Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered mathematical model, stratified by age, to predict the evolution of COVID-19 epidemics in three countries representing a range of age distributions in Africa (from oldest to youngest average age: Mauritius, Nigeria and Niger), under various effectiveness assumptions for combinations of different non-pharmaceutical interventions: self-iso

SUBMITTER: van Zandvoort K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7553800 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature