Modified-Chronic Disease Score (M-CDS): Predicting the individual risk of death using drug prescriptions.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Estimating the morbidity of a population is strategic for health systems to improve healthcare. In recent years administrative databases have been increasingly used to predict health outcomes. In 1992, Von Korff proposed a Chronic Disease Score (CDS) to predict 1-year mortality by only using drug prescription data. Because pharmacotherapy underwent many changes over the last 3 decades, the original version of the CDS has limitations. The aim of this paper is to report on the development of the modified version of the CDS.

Methods

The modified CDS (M-CDS) was developed using 33 variables (from drug prescriptions within two-year before 01/01/2018) to predict one-year mortality in Bologna residents aged ≥50 years. The population was split into training and testing se

SUBMITTER: Iommi M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7567358 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature