Infection rates from Covid-19 in Great Britain by geographical units: A model-based estimation from mortality data.

ABSTRACT: This study estimates cumulative infection rates from Covid-19 in Great Britain by local authority districts (LADs) and council areas (CAs) and investigates spatial patterns in infection rates. We propose a model-based approach to calculate cumulative infection rates from data on observed and expected deaths from Covid-19. Our analysis of mortality data shows that 7% of people in Great Britain were infected by Covid-19 by the last third of June 2020. It is unlikely that the infection rate was lower than 4% or higher than 15%. Secondly, England had higher infection rates than Scotland and especially Wales, although the differences between countries were not large. Thirdly, we observed a substantial variation in virus infection rates in Great Britain by geographical units. Estimated infection

SUBMITTER: Kulu H 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7572059 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature