Transmission Dynamics of the COVID-19 Epidemic at the District Level in India: Prospective Observational Study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

On March 9, 2020, the first COVID-19 case was reported in Jodhpur, Rajasthan, in the northwestern part of India. Understanding the epidemiology of COVID-19 at a local level is becoming increasingly important to guide measures to control the pandemic.

Objective

The aim of this study was to estimate the serial interval and basic reproduction number (R₀) to understand the transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak at a district level. We used standard mathematical modeling approaches to assess the utility of these factors in determining the effectiveness of COVID-19 responses and projecting the size of the epidemic.

Methods

Contact tracing of individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 was performed to obtain the serial intervals. The median and 95th p

SUBMITTER: Saurabh S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7572116 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature